National climate assessments offer local insights that can help you navigate holiday climate conversations
Katharine, you are a bright light of optimism in what often seems a dismal prospect ... but I have to agree with commenter Stephen Schiff. And it appears that worldwide fossil fuel industries are making huge investments in still more carbon fuels, banking (perhaps cynically) on unproven carbon capture technologies to allow them to keep spewing out CO2, methane, and all the rest. If those industries seemed to start investing in renewables, I might be more optimistic. But it’s pretty clear they intend to go big in the same direction that’s gotten us into the current state of the climate.
I realize that this Substack is about emphasizing the positive, but it is also necessary to be accurate about the status of efforts to reach climate goals. The mosr recent IPCC assessment indicates rhat the CO2 level in 2030 will be +9% relative to that of 2020, whereas to meet the 1.5C Paris goal it needs to be -40%. So, 1 09÷ 0.60 = 1.82, i.e. we are 82% ABOVE target at the current rate of emissions growth. That translates into not only missing the +1,5C Paris goal, but also missing the +2C level. We are on the path to a climate catastrophe.
It would be helpful if you, as a spokesperson for climate action would urge your audience to demand immediate action by Congress and the President.